Science succeeds by recognizing two conflicting quirks of human thinking:
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A tendency to oversimplify in the service of confirming wondrous wishes
2 Discovery of abstract patterns of Nature that cannot be denied |
vs She who must be obeyed |
Both quirks lurk
about in the shadows of Keith Devlin's "fourth level of human abstraction."
This "fourth level"
could be a bridge between scientific reasoning and reasoning about social
issues.
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Effective political discussion must recognize this deeper level of thinking. Science is impossible and pseudoscience dominates in a society blind to such abstractions. Likewise, effective and compasionate politics is impossible without the deeper, but necessary, insights. |
.
.
In the August 15, 2002 issue
of The New York Review of Books,
Tony Judt of New York University
starts a paragraph with:
| "The real threat to America, which the Bush administration has not even begun to comprehend..." |
This phrase sounds echos of those many unseen
"Eurekas"
among those decades of puzzles from Martin Gardner's
"Mathematical Games" in
Scientific
American.
The
need to comprehend something logical (imperatively
so) and abstract (fourth-level)
is what
makes Martin Gardner's puzzles (physics, too)
"simple but subtle."
A reminder: Usable human knowledge
often requires the best
human pattern recognition skills.
The best will be the most
abstract.
|
"not even begin to comprehend"? Judt points to the widespread esteem (even to the point of being revered) that America enjoys in the minds and eyes of non-Americans, because of...?? MTV and McDonald's?
Enron and Bernnie Ebbers of WorldCom?
America's awesome military establishment?
America's unparalleld wealth?
*Michael
J Mazarr "Saved from Ourselves," The Washington Quarterly, Vol.
25, No.2 (Spring 2002).
Reluctant to join international initiatives
or agreements
Only one
of two states that have failed to ratify the 1989
"Unsigned":
Declared itself no
longer bound by the Vienna Convention on Law of Treaties
Etc.
Etc. |
America's
founding fathers were deep thinkers.
They
designed a democracy that would help average thinkers elect the best
thinkers.
What
happened...??
![]() These "dimensions"
will be in Devlin's "mathematical" level of abstraction.
You see the deeper abstraction and you succeed. But if you don't
see, you will seem something of a fool to those who do see...furthermore,
you
don't succeed.
"The opinions
are those of the author and not necessarily shared by [the sponsor], but
they should be."
Bob Park's disclaimer in his column "What's New." American democracy was designed by people who were good at seeing the deeper abstractions. American elections have seen ups and downs in placing that kind of people in government. The Bush Administration rejected statistical methods for taking the Census. In doing so, they emanated an "aura of ignorance" clearly detectable to those who do comprehend statistical principles. The Administration, indeed, was seeing statistics as does a large fraction of the American public for whom they are making a lot of important decisions. Many, many people play the lotteries with an expectation of possibly getting filthy rich. When Bob Park suggested that lottery players might as well send their dollars to the American Physical Society, because their odds of winning would be "exactly the same to within eight significant figures," his aura was an aura of understanding. The members
of the American Physical Society have given us all vast understanding of
nature.
The Bush administration avoided emplacing a science advisor amongst themselves for an unconscionably long period. They frequently advocate ideas which scientific insight shows to be absurd...to a very high level of probability. Missle defense shield. Use of the polygraph to get at the truth. The International Space Station to advance science. What's New carries a steady litany of such silliness that shows what a group of high-level decision makers can emanate when unguided by the abstract patterns of the "fourth-level" of human intellectual skills. When people democratically elect "leaders" who make important decisions,
they must elect people who can see further than they themselves see.
The dangers of electing people who don't even begin to comprehend the complexities
of their actions constitute, today, the most terrifying hazards mankind
has ever faced. All three catastrophes which John Platt warned us about seem to be descending upon us as a singleand simplisticmisstep of democracy.
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